With Alfonso Soriano taking the year off, and Carlos Zambrano being affected in the exact OPPOSITE way as all other players in the history of a contract year (aka panicking instead of playing better), it looks like this won't be the Cubs' year. Even in the remote instance they put it together and win the NL pennant, they're not going to beat anyone in the AL in the World Series.

EDITOR'S NOTE: the preceding paragraphs were written before Carlos Zambrano and Michael Barrett's fight and Lou Pinella's explosion, so you can add that to the reasons why they won't win.
The Cubs are not as bad as they seem. They've outscored their opponents 239-233, but because of their unprecedented record in one-run games (2-12) and extra innings (1-5), they currently stand at 22-31 and 4th in the NL Central (the worst division in baseball). I have no idea how this is calculated, but the Cubs' expected win-loss should be 27-26, an example of how unlucky/huge choke artists they've been.
So there's your statistics as to how much the Cubs suck, but the title was WHY. And I believe that reason is Day Games.
The Cubs are plagued by the most outdated tradition in baseball: playing most of their home games during the day (51 to be exact). Add this to the 24 day games they have on the road, and the Cubs play 75 day games in the season - far and away more than any other team (I have no data to back this up).
I think that if you polled major league players about preference of playing in the day or at night, the vast majority would choose night (again, no data). You have to wake up early (probably hungover) to play a game during the summer at the hottest time of day (around 1-4), then when you lose another 1 run game (because you're the Cubs) you have all day to think about how you fucked up, instead of just getting hammered and going to strip clubs like normal post-night game activity.
I scoured the internets, but data was hard to come by. So far this year the Cubs are 13-18 during the day (9-13 at night). They're 10-17 at home, 12-14 on the road (this data isn't the best because of 1) small sample size and 2) the Cubs record just makes it look like they suck everywhere). But in the past couple years (the only data I could find), the Cubs have also had losing home records. In 2006, they're 36 home wins were the lowest in the majors; and they're 38 home wins in '05 was fourth lowest.
So forget about Billy Goats (the most contrived curse ever invented) and Bartman. Either the Cubs love traveling, hate their fans, or would rather play their games like every other team in baseball - at night.


